Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.004673 0.005284 0.005979 0.006836 0.007873 0.009104 0.010694
2025-12-14 0.003787 0.004541 0.005476 0.006746 0.008467 0.010785 0.014268
2025-12-21 0.003384 0.004229 0.005341 0.006963 0.009364 0.012963 0.019161
2025-12-28 0.003141 0.004056 0.005323 0.007289 0.010436 0.015648 0.025946
2026-01-04 0.002892 0.003830 0.005180 0.007381 0.011139 0.017926 0.033169
2026-01-11 0.002655 0.003587 0.004970 0.007315 0.011543 0.019780 0.040618
2026-01-18 0.002479 0.003410 0.004831 0.007332 0.012084 0.022072 0.050765
2026-01-25 0.002292 0.003196 0.004606 0.007160 0.012221 0.023546 0.059919
2026-02-01 0.002102 0.002961 0.004321 0.006840 0.011989 0.024088 0.066671
2026-02-08 0.001936 0.002749 0.004054 0.006516 0.011686 0.024366 0.072899
2026-02-15 0.001857 0.002671 0.004005 0.006593 0.012267 0.027193 0.093287
2026-02-22 0.001755 0.002547 0.003864 0.006471 0.012371 0.028735 0.110264
2026-03-01 0.001639 0.002399 0.003680 0.006268 0.012311 0.029996 0.130070
2026-03-08 0.001551 0.002292 0.003563 0.006190 0.012556 0.032451 0.165646
2026-03-15 0.001508 0.002260 0.003575 0.006383 0.013549 0.038208 0.255508
2026-03-22 0.001481 0.002250 0.003628 0.006672 0.014902 0.046599 0.454564
2026-03-29 0.001431 0.002196 0.003591 0.006752 0.015689 0.053379 0.754492
2026-04-05 0.001370 0.002118 0.003500 0.006694 0.016037 0.058433 1.181793
2026-04-12 0.001321 0.002060 0.003443 0.006709 0.016634 0.065664 2.215952
2026-04-19 0.001260 0.001975 0.003325 0.006558 0.016630 0.069352 3.612806
2026-04-26 0.001190 0.001871 0.003161 0.006274 0.016098 0.069115 4.711932
2026-05-03 0.001125 0.001771 0.003002 0.005986 0.015499 0.068066 5.860934
2026-05-10 0.001097 0.001741 0.002982 0.006055 0.016231 0.078027 23.926247